NFL -- Week 10, Licking The Chops

I guess last week I wasn't totally without data machines, despite my pick moaning. I did my first set of Fanduel numbers the week before so I had a little bit of machine momentum going in.. And it seemed to help.

1. Jacksonville at Indiana -- Final: 17-3
I didn't see the game but I was cheering for MJD to have a big game here against a tired Indy team and sure enough. Indianapolis gets a bye week now to lick their wounds and eat some Turkey before getting a mopey (and visiting rookie..) Cam Newton in a couple weeks.  

Vegas line was: JAX@IND-2
Shelby line was: JAX@IND+2
Actual line was: JAX@IND+14
SHELBY WINS

2. Buffalo at Dallas -- Final: 7-44
Just like the Indy + Jax game, I had a horse in the race -- DeMarco! -- but didn't get to see. Dallas cleaned the Seattle clocks last week and had their cleaning equipment still laying around. The shine is definitely coming off the Buffalo apple..  

Vegas line was: BUF@DAL-3.5
Shelby line was: BUF@DAL-8
Actual line was: BUF@DAL-37.. geez.
SHELBY WINS

3. Baltimore at Seattle -- 17-22
I did manage to see every single second of this game, however. What a beaut, if you're a 'Hawk fan. The Ravens are hugely talented but they didn't come to play. Hello 12th man. Hello Marshawn, more like -- Beast Mode was flipped on..  

Vegas line was: BAL@SEA+7
Shelby line was: BAL@SEA+4
Actual line was: BAL@SEA-5
SHELBY WINS

4. New England at New York Jets -- 37-16
Jets almost got a toe-hold against that Pats passing D, but Sanchez couldn't quite make the guys pay. I guess it says a lot to me when the QB is *not* the person leading the rah-rah in the huddle -- for the Jets it wasn't Sanchez but LT who was all fired up. I love that LT guy, and I miss him in his prime. But Brady? Holy cow, he put on a chess clinic and kept the Jets D off balance in the second half, esp. that back-breaking field-length decisive drive. I wonder if its safe to put him back in my fantasy lineup..?  Remember when I picked my lines and I said I couldn't imagine the Pats losing 3 in a row? Yeah, should stuck with that.

Vegas line was: NWE@NYJ+2.5
Shelby line was: NWE@NYJ-1
Actual line was: NWE@NYJ+21
VEGAS WINS

5. Minnesota at Green Bay -- 7-45
When you have Aaron Rodgers on the sideline for most of the 4th quarter and he's not even remotely injured, you know its a stomping. I was a little disconcerted with how much nice-talking happened between plays between Rodgers and various Minnesota players, especially Jared Allen. What's with that? I guess I'm old school and like a little animosity with my football.

Vegas line was: MIN@GNB-12.5
Shelby line was: MIN@GNB-15
Actual line was: MIN@GNB-38
SHELBY WINS

Lines this week were brutal for Vegas -- wouldn't be surprised to see some analysis on how much money these guys lost with the Dallas and Green Bay type blowout games where there's no way their going to pop a 30+ line even though that's probably what will happen.

You see how chicken I got after last week? I'm shading baby..

Next week I'll do a slightly different format to prepare for B3TZ style picking. Check out the bet board in the right column -- it has dummy data right now -- getting ready for Week 11 football picks which should be out sometime Wednesday.