NFL -- Week 10 Picks

Damn, another week of gut picks because I don't have any good data machines set up. Not that I don't viewz me sum dataz, but sadly I have nothing formal in place..

1. Vegas says: JAX@IND-2
Accuscore says these guys will be tied 17-17 (after 10,000 simulated games!) and Vegas has this one under a field goal for Indy. I say bollocks! Jacksonville has actually won a couple this season (including the Ravens!) while Indy has yet to find their first green dub. The key piece of info for me here -- Jacksonville is coming fresh off of bye week and Indy is crawling toward their bye week next week and with a defense that has been on the field a *lot* and is just plain out of gas. Sure Indy is at home, but I think they're a dog and JAX is going to find a way to win it with their Freshness Factor. So back the other way on Vegas.
Shelby line: JAX@IND+2

2. Vegas says: BUF@DAL-3.5
Of course I watched with great sadness the spankage of the 'Hawks last week at Dallas. What I learned is that young DeMarco Murray can do OK against a mediocre run defense (hint: Buffalo is worse than Seattle!). And that when Romo keeps the offense on the field, the Dallas D is pretty darn stout. I think F-Jack is going to have a very uphill day and Ryan Fitzypants is going to get Ware back on track for his sack record. Yes, more than a field goal. I'll do better -- more than a touchdown!
Shelby line: BUF@DAL-8

3. Vegas says: BAL@SEA+7
I love the Hawks of course, but I'm going to make this one simple. Baltimore's two losses have been on the road to mediocre teams. Not sure why they're sucking at these games, but I suspect that they just can't be bothered getting up for piddlywinks with little girls. That plus the Hawks have been consistently inconsistent this year and are coming off a couple disappointments -- I'm going to shade this one back to the home team.
Shelby line: BAL@SEA+4

4. Vegas says: NWE@NYJ+2.5
Belichick just loves to thump Ryan and I can't imagine the Pats losing 3 in a row -- my mind doesn't have a place to put even the idea of a bad streak like that and I bet it's been a hella long time since that happened. But all that said -- and I can't believe I'm saying this -- I think the Jets are going to win outright. Wow. Something is going on in NWE and I don't think it was Fat Albert.. Sanchez gets back on track here.. Am I crazy?
Shelby line: NWE@NYJ-1

5. Vegas says: MIN@GNB-12.5
Ah, Las Vegas -- not enough! Not enough! Green Bay will just pound poor Minnesota into oblivion by at least a couple TDs! The only thing that could stop the Cheezeheads would be a diarrhea plague or something. Double-check discounts all night, baby!
Shelby line: MIN@GNB-15

OK, that's enough for this week. Check out the Leaderboard for this crazy lines game that I'm playing -- this is how I'm rating myself. If you want to take me on, just make a comment to this post and put down the team names that you'd take using my lines.. When B3TZ M3 ships in a few weeks you'll have a way to actually do this in an app. Can't wait.