For about 25 years now I've been convinced that I pick better sports lines than Vegas does, especially in NFL and NCAA football, which I follow a bit, and NBA basketball, which I follow pretty closely when the players aren't locked out.
In the absence of some long term cumulative data I've sorta started believing this little fantasy about my line-picking superiority. I guess I'm at a point that I'd like to do a little checking find out two things:
1) is my "gut method" of picking lines really beating Vegas?
2) if it isn't, can I start to use some of my favorite analytics tools to improve?
So I'm going start some Vegas line games on B3TZ.com and give out prizes to people who can do better than me. In all my games I'm going pick my own lines and offer bets on both sides of the line. I may vary the amount of brags (B3TZ game points) I offer depending probably on the distance from the Vegas "conventional wisdom". We'll see how that goes and we'll see what kinds of prizes I can drum up as well.
At any rate, hang on, play if you want, and let's see where this goes.
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